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Writing Peace: The National Archives of the UK (TNA)

Enclosure: Annex C – Suggested Sequence of Events for the Joint Declaration Initiative

Wednesday, 13 October 1993

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This document sets out the possible outcomes and next steps of talks depending on the reaction to the current draft JD12.

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ANNEX C

JOINT DECLARATION INITIATIVE - SUGGESTED SEQUENCE OF EVENTS

Stage 1(a) - British Government agrees/does not agree Joint Declaration text privately. British Government does/does not insist on explicit constitutional guarantee in text.

Stage 1(b) - British Government briefs Mr Molyneaux, on Privy Council terms, and GOC and RUC Chief Constable.

Stage 2 - Irish Government decide whether to put the agreed text to the Provisionals (not declaring agreement with HMA) or to kill the initiative and aim for a SOFT LANDING.

Stage 3 - Provisionals consider text and either agree and undertake to stop the violence or reject.

Stage 4(a) - If Provisionals reject all sides aim for SOFT LANDING.

Stage 4(b) - If Provisionals accept Irish Government makes formal approach to British Government with text of Declaration and letter containing Taoiseach's understanding.

[Stage 5 - Provisionals cease firing]

Stage 6(a) - Intensive engagement with Irish Government on details and timetable for the scheme, or final chance to bale out and aim for SOFT LANDING.

Stage 6(b) - Report to Cabinet, full briefing for Leader of the Opposition on Privy Council terms, and others eg Archbishops etc.

Stage 7 - Irish/British Summit meeting.

Stage 8(a) - Joint Declaration made by Taoiseach and Prime Minister.

Stage 8 (b) - Statements in House and Dail.

Stage 9 - Implementation of scheme, ie establishment of Convention.

Stage 10 - Consequential steps for HMG. De-escalation of security force activity if justified by events on the ground, decision about dialogue with Sinn Fein after cessation of violence sufficiently demonstrated; confidence building for all sections of the community in Northern Ireland.